Latin America Risk Report
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Ecuador - Security crisis
The gangs are fighting each other and the government. Today's violence has been bad and the conditions exist for the situation to worsen.
Jan 9, 2024
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Boz
59
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Ecuador - Security crisis
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Mapping the region’s ideological landscape
A deeper dive into my accidental Twitter meme
Nov 1, 2022
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Boz
28
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Mapping the region’s ideological landscape
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The Petro feud puts Trump's coercion-first strategy into practice
This weekend’s Colombia crisis is next week’s Honduras crisis.
Jan 27
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Boz
12
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The Petro feud puts Trump's coercion-first strategy into practice
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Mapping Latin America's ideological landscape - Q4 2023
An updated map and some comments
Oct 30, 2023
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Boz
20
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Mapping Latin America's ideological landscape - Q4 2023
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Ten Predictions for 2024 that are 80% likely to happen
I should get 8 out of 10 of these correct
Jan 2, 2024
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Boz
40
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Ten Predictions for 2024 that are 80% likely to happen
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Guatemala - A triumph and a warning about democracy
The narrative wars about democratic institutions are just getting started
Jan 16, 2024
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Boz
45
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Guatemala - A triumph and a warning about democracy
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Venezuela post-election scenario memo - 30 July 2024
Edmundo Gonzalez won the election. Maduro is trying to steal it. Here are the scenarios in which change occurs.
Jul 30, 2024
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Boz
20
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Venezuela post-election scenario memo - 30 July 2024
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Trump vs Sheinbaum on Tariffs
A big risk to North America is that Claudia Sheinbaum calls Donald Trump’s bluff.
Nov 26, 2024
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Boz
27
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Trump vs Sheinbaum on Tariffs
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How long will the 2025 North American Trade War last?
Plus comments on Rubio's trip to Panama and Grenell's trip to Venezuela
Feb 3
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Boz
6
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How long will the 2025 North American Trade War last?
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Rubio's nomination as secretary of state brings attention to Latin America. But will he be effective?
Rubio's influence and legacy in his new position will be tied to Venezuela policy and negotiations on immigration and trade.
Nov 18, 2024
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Boz
7
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Rubio's nomination as secretary of state brings attention to Latin America. But will he be effective?
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The Carnival Barker and LatAm Policy
Trump cares more about ratings than results. Latin America will learn to respond accordingly.
Mar 4
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Boz
21
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The Carnival Barker and LatAm Policy
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Friday Reading List - 29 December 2023
The last one of the year
Dec 29, 2023
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Boz
45
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Friday Reading List - 29 December 2023
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