Good morning.
This week’s newsletters
WPR - U.S.-Latin America Policy Just Saw an Unprecedented Week of Chaos
Monday - How long will the 2025 North American Trade War last?
Tuesday - A framework for how Latin American leaders respond
Wednesday - Polling notes: Lula leads Brazil 2026 campaign; Arce at 1% approval in Bolivia
Thursday - Six stories - Comments on Argentina’s currency controls, Pemex and more.
Thanks to everyone who subscribes and reads. Paying subscribers get more analysis including the full text of the Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday links above. Please consider paying for a subscription if you read regularly and work for an organization that benefits from the information I publish.
Reading List
NYT - Samantha Power: Killing U.S.A.I.D. Is a Win for Autocrats Everywhere
AP - Trump’s foreign aid freeze could prove to be a boon for the world’s authoritarian strongmen
AP - USAID is going away. Here's what it's been doing in South America
Bloomberg - Trump and Musk’s USAID ‘Shut Down’ Threat Opens Door for China
LA Times - How Trump could pave the way for China in Latin America
NYT - Trump’s Plan for the Cartels Isn’t Tough Enough
Politico - Navarro on Trump’s tariff threats: ‘It’s a drug war, not a trade war’
Bloomberg - Mexico’s Sheinbaum Sets Tone on Trump Tariff Negotations
Americas Quarterly - The Storm for U.S.-Mexico Ties Is Only Beginning
Bloomberg - Mexico's Pemex Needs Radical Surgery, Not More Painkillers
World Politics Review - Sheinbaum Isn’t Tempering Her Ambitions for Mexico’s Economy
Guardian - ‘Hope has returned’: tribe hails Lula’s fight against illegal mining in Amazon
AP - Surreal prices for COP30 in Brazil's Amazon leave attendees scrambling for a place to stay
InSight Crime - Crime and Religion in Brazil: The Expansion of Rio’s Pure Third Command
Inter-American Dialogue - Venezuela: A Roadmap to Protect Independent Journalism in Closed Regimes
Efecto Cocuyo - Paso a paso: ¿cómo fue la negociación entre Grenell y Maduro?
World Politics Review - Last Week’s U.S.-Colombia Crisis Won’t Be the Last
Silla Vacia - El regalo de Navidad de Ecopetrol a una petrolera venezolana
AP - Colombia's president orders national oil company to cancel US venture over environmental concerns
CNN - Cocaine is ‘no worse than whisky,’ Colombian president says - You may disagree, but rumors say Petro is personally well-qualified to comment on this issue.
InSight Crime - How Organized Crime Set the Agenda for Ecuador’s Presidential Elections
Bloomberg - After Winning Over Bondholders, Ecuador’s President Looks to Voters for Second Term
Guardian - ‘The last drops of our water’: how a mine left some of Peru’s poorest high and dry
BioBio Chile - Cárceles, armas y terror: la expansión del Tren de Aragua
Americas Quarterly - Guatemala Aims for Quiet Coexistence with Washington
Tico Times - US Backs Costa Rica in Stand Against Chinese Tech Influence
Estrella de Panama - Los pagos secretos de los suplentes de los diputados
Politico - ‘There will be many casualties’: Panama girds for war as Rubio opens talks
Evan Ellis - Beyond the Canal: The Real Risk of Chinese Engagement in Panama
BBC - Panama says US 'spreading lies' over free canal passage
AP - US seized Venezuelan president’s plane held in Dominican Republic during Rubio visit
CEPR - Where Does the Money Go? A Look at USAID Spending in Haiti
Global Initiative - Last Chance? Breaking Haiti’s Political and Criminal Impasse - I missed this when it was published a few weeks ago.
NYT - The World Has Changed Since Trump’s First Trade War. Other Countries Are Ready to Fight Back.
Thanks for reading
Have a great weekend!