Ecuador - Prediction markets shift against Noboa

Gonzalez is now the favorite according to Polymarket and Kalshi

There are no new public polls in Ecuador. But the prediction markets are moving, suggesting they know something.

Both Polymarket and Kalshi¹ have markets about Ecuador’s presidential election. There is about $80k that has been traded on Kalshi and $1.2 million on Polymarket, so there is some liquidity that was not there in the opening weeks of the campaig…