The limited polling for Bolivia’s second round election:
Ipsos/Ciesmori: Quiroga 45, Paz 37
Captura / Red Uno: Quiroga 43, Paz 39
The betting markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) started the second round with Paz as the frontrunner, flipped to Quiroga after the polls showed him as the favorite, and have narrowed in recent days to around a 50-50 coinflip. Many of t…