Argentina - Polling, Prediction Markets, and Scenarios for the Midterms

LLA will likely fall short of the one-third mark. But the LLA+PRO coalition should hit it with ease.

Here are the polls from the past month related to Argentina’s midterm elections showing a tight race between President Milei’s LLA and the Peronists Fuerza Patria (FP). I grabbed these straight from the Wikipedia annex of poll numbers, where you can find all the links to the sources.

• M&F: LLA 40, FP 34

• UDESA: LLA 31, FP 26

• Trends: LLA 42, FP 38

• Zendrix: LLA…